Complete Bookmakers’ Analysis on Leeds as Season Reaches Midpoint – by Rob Atkinson


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Most Leeds fans are reasonably happy with the way things are going of late: The team has the meanest defence in the Championship; the team is unbeaten since the 5th October, with an 11-game streak yielding 27 points; and, most importantly, there is currently a 10-point cushion to Preston North End in 3rd place.

In short, Leeds are in prime position to make it back to the Premier League next season, perhaps while putting the Championship trophy in the cabinet on the way. However, it can be difficult to look at things objectively. So, in light of that, we are going to look at what the bookies are saying about Leeds for the run-in. We will also try to pinpoint the best value for backing the team after scouring dozens of betting sites.

Without further ado:

Title Odds:

Despite being two points behind West Brom, Leeds are still odds-on favourites for the title. The best price we can find is the 5/6 with Betway and Bet365, but it’s worth noting that some sites are as low as 8/13. It’s a nice position to be in, of course, but you must bear in mind that Leeds have Preston, Fulham, West Brom and Sheffield Wednesday in the next three weeks. If Bielsa and co are still in the same position in mid-January, we will be a lot more confident.

Promotion Odds:

As you might expect, bookies are really keen on the promotion chances of West Brom and Leeds, thanks to that big gap from second to third place. SkyBet has the best price currently at 1/12, although Leeds are trading a bit higher on betting exchanges. We would, however, ask you to be aware that the likes of Brentford and Fulham are offered around 5/2, so it’s not that the bookies are really sticking their necks out. Again, the busy Christmas period should really tell us whether Leeds have been overbought or not.

Straight Forecast:

A really interesting market if you believe Leeds and West Brom are guaranteed to finish in the Top 2. It’s even at Betfair money for Leeds to finish 1st and West Brom in second, whereas it’s 2/1 for the reverse. Smart punters can back both outcomes for a profit with the use of a betting offer. Sites like Freebets bring you the top free bet offers for all the bookies listed here, so consider visiting if you want to cover your own selection.

To Win the Playoffs:

This is always a muddied betting market, given the fact that teams in Leeds’ position are priced higher due to the fact it’s statistically unlikely they will enter the Playoffs. It’s 20/1 from Paddy Power that Leeds somehow fall of the cliff edge into the Playoff spots, then scramble their way back to the promised land with victory at Wembley on 25th May 2020.

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Top Scorer:

Finishing with an area that concerned Leeds fans in the early autumn – goals. Business has, of course, picked up in front of goal lately, and Leeds have scored two or more goals in seven of their last eight games. Fulham’s Aleksandar Mitrovic is way out in front on 16 goals, and he is odds-on across the board to top the list at the end of the season. Patrick Bamford, sitting on nine goals at the moment, can be found as high as 33/1 with some bookmakers.  It’s a tall order, but we still have a huge number of games to play.

 

6 responses to “Complete Bookmakers’ Analysis on Leeds as Season Reaches Midpoint – by Rob Atkinson

  1. Cheers for the info Rob but there is no way that I am going to jinx it.
    I regularly back the loser in a one horse race. Mind you I did have a nice result for MU 0 Leeds 1 scorer Beckford in the cup. 100/1 I think it was. I only risked a quid but it did the trick.
    Happy Xmas etc.MOT.

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  2. What can I say as a devout optimistic pessimist. I always thought that this was entirely due to being an obsessive Leeds United supporter. Trouble with this infliction is that, if you wait long enough, and no matter how confident you try to be, you just know it’s around the corner waiting for for you to make an appearance. The real difficult trick is to get round the corner ahead of the smack in the face. This is done by suppressing the optimism to a level of tolerance that you can control without going too far and slipping into the dreaded sods law period. Anyone who witnessed the game against Cardiff will know what I mean. I hit this point right after their first goal. However, I managed, with enormous determination and strength to get round the corner before they scored the fourth goal. Job done.
    If you can make any sense of this Rob you would be a great psychiatrist. Statistics are meaningless to me and all I can say is it’s going to be another very nerve jangling season that I would not miss for the world. We just HAVE to get round that corner first. MOT

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  3. Life is LUFC

    Que Sera,Sera
    I’m just trying to stay calm 😎 ……with a bottle of something that acts as an anaesthetic and keeps me under until it is safe to surface.
    Have a Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year to you and yours.

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